Sunday, 27 September 2020

Broncos Open as 1-Point Favorites vs Jets in Week 4 Thursday Night Football


Denver Broncos

The Denver Broncos opened as 1-point road favorites at the New York Jets in this week’s Thursday Night Football matchup. The line is already at Denver -2.5. Photo by @nfltrade_rumors (Twitter).

  • The Denver Broncos opened as one-point favorites over the New York Jets on Thursday Night Football (Oct. 1, 8:20 pm EST)
  • The line quickly moved to Denver -2.5
  • Read below for analysis on which way the line is likely to move ahead of kickoff

Seeking to make an NFL pick between the New York Jets and Denver Broncos is reminiscent of that old South Park episode when the school was in the process of selecting a new mascot.

Without getting too graphic or offensive, let’s just sum it up by saying that both choices the students were left with were equally distasteful.

Which us back to the Jets and Broncos.

These two 0-3 jugger-nots clash in prime time of this week’s edition of Thursday Night Football. New York’s football Jets, home team for this debacle-in-waiting, opened as the one-point underdogs in the Broncos vs Jets odds.

That line had moved to Denver -2.5 within an hour of being posted.

Broncos vs Jets Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
Denver Broncos -136 -2.5 (-110) O 40 (-110)
New York Jets +112 +2.5 (-110) U 40 (-110)

Odds taken Sept. 27th at DraftKings

This is the second season in a row that both the Jets and Broncos have opened 0-3.

A Painful Existence

Country music is certainly more popular in Denver than it is in New York. Still, it’s quite possible that both hard-core Jets and Broncos fans are pulling out their old George Jones hurtin’ songs albums of late.

The Jets are currently so thin at wide receiver that any season-ticket holder capable of running precise pass patterns might be admitted into the stadium for Thursday’s game. “Whoever’s got a pulse right now, we’re ready to go,” Jets head coach Adam Gase told the New York Post.

Jamison Crowder (hamstring) has missed the last two games. Breshad Perriman (ankle) and Chris Hogan (ribs) are also ailing. Denzel Mims (hamstring), Jeff Smith (abdominal) and Vyncint Smith (shoulder) are all on injured reserve.

Wonder if Don Maynard is busy on Thursday?

The Jets are also without feature back Le’Veon Bell. He’s on IR with a hamstring injury. Starting tackles George Fant and Mekhi Becton are also out. The Jets have 13 players currently on IR.

For the Broncos, they lost quarterback Drew Lock to a shoulder injury. Jeff Driskel, who’s 1-8 as an NFL QB, got the start in Sunday’s 28-10 loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

Two-time 1,000-yard rusher Phillip Lindsay (toe) missed Sunday’s game. Receiver Courtland Sutton (knee) and pass rush menace Von Miller (ankle) are on IR.

Trends Worth Considering

Denver has gone 5-2 against the spread over its last seven games against the Jets. The total has also gone over in six of the last seven Broncos at Jets games.

Remember the excitement when the Jets went 6-2 straight up and ATS to close out the 2019 NFL season? That was fool’s gold.

The Jets are 0-3 both SU and ATS to launch this season. Gase is clearly on the hot seat. A home loss in prime time to the Broncos could seal his fate.

New York’s AFC franchise is 4-4 SU in its last eight home games against Denver. And the Jets are 1-3 SU overall in their last four clashes with the Broncos.

Bettors Will Ride Broncos

Look for the smart money on this game to continue backing the Broncos. The line will move even more toward Denver because of that.

Until Sunday’s setback in Tampa, the Broncos lost twice by a combined seven-point margin. The Jets have gone down in flames by double digits three weeks in a row.

The only other certainty tied to this game relates to the fact both teams opened the 2019 campaign 0-4.

That’s guaranteed not to happen in 2020.

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