Tuesday 25 February 2020

Guzman vs Martinez Odds, Picks & Betting Preview


Combate Americas 56 promotional image

Alejandro Martinez takes on Adrian Guzman at Combate Americas 56 this Friday, Feb. 28th.

  • Adrian Guzman battles Alejandro Martinez in the main event of Combate Americas 56 this Friday (Feb. 28th)
  • Does Guzman earn a title shot with a win?
  • See the betting preview for the main and co-main event and odds for the main card below

Combate Americas is in Fresno, California, this Friday, Feb. 28th, for Combate Americas 56 where a lightweight matchup headlines the card.

In the main event, Adrian Guzman looks to extend his winning streak to three while Alejandro Martinez is hoping to snap a two-fight losing skid. The co-main event pairs Bellator veteran Ivan Castillo against Danny Ramirez, who has lost his past four fights.

The main card airs live at 8:00 PM ET. The table below shows odds for the entire main card, followed by best bets for the event.

Combate Americas 56 Odds

Fighter Odds at BetOnline
Adrian Guzman -170
Alejandra Martinez +140
Fighter Odds
Ivan Castillo +200
Danny Ramirez -260
Fighter Odds
Paul Elizondo Jr. -240
Carlos Reyes +190
Fighter Odds
Stephanie Frausto -425
Charis Sigala +325

Odds taken Feb. 25.

Will Guzman Extend His Winning Streak?

Adrian Guzman (6-1) is riding a two-fight winning streak and is a very impressive 4-1 in Combate Americas. In his last fight, he beat Danny Ramirez, who’s on this card, by unanimous decision. He also edged out a decision win over Cesar Gonzalez to get back into the win column after being submitted by Jose Estrada. He does have a notable win over Bellator fighter, Anthony Taylor, where he won by submission.

Alejandro Martinez (4-4) is the exact opposite as Guzman; he is currently on a two-fight losing streak, although he has fought two of the best lightweights in Combate Americas.

In his last fight, he lost a split-decision to Enrique Gonzalez. Before that, he lost via first-round TKO to Erick Gonzalez. In the promotion, he is 1-2 overall. In his career, has notable wins over Fabian Quintanar and Paulo Bananada while also fighting UFC fighter Ottman Azaitar in Brave CF.

This is very weird matchmaking in the main event as Martinez is a Mexican and given Combate Americas’ target audience in Latin America, I’d expect them to give him a favorable matchup. But they didn’t. Guzman is a very good fighter who could very well be fighting for the lightweight title this year.

I suspect the first few minutes or possibly the entire first round being a kickboxing fight until Guzman takes Martinez down and looks for the ground-and-pound TKO. Out of the four losses Martinez has on his record, three have come by (T)KO.

On the ground, although Guzman’s only loss is by submission, he is good at jiu-jitsu. He should be able to complete sweeps, get to top mount, and earn a ground-and-pound TKO win to extend his winning streak and push Martinez’s skid to three.

Pick: Adrian Guzman (-170)

Guzman vs Martinez

24 Age 28
5’9″ Height 5’8″
70″ Reach N/A”
4 Career finishes 4

Who’s Losing Streak is Coming to an End?

Ivan Castillo (17-13) is on a two-fight losing streak and is just 3-7 in his last 10 fights. The Mexican has primarily been fighting in Mexico and South American promotions along with one fight in Bellator before competing in Combate Americas. In the promotion, he is 0-2 but did fight top-level fighters in Daniel Rodriguez and JC Llamas.

Danny Ramirez (6-6) is on a four-fight losing streak and is looking to improve to 2-4 in Combate Americas. During the losing streak, he lost decisions to Adrian Guzman, Dominic Clark, and Rodrigo Vargas while he was TKO’d by Erick Gonzalez. His only win in the promotion was in his debut where he beat Gonzalez by decision. He also has a win over Bellator and LFA veteran, Salvador Becerra.

Although both are on a losing skid, Danny Ramirez is the clear-cut better fighter and has more ways to win this scrap. He should have the advantage on the ground, although I expect this fight to primarily be standing.

I believe Ramirez will catch Castillo with a hard shot early and drop the Mexican and finish him off via strikes on the ground in the second round.

Pick: Danny Ramirez (-260)

Other Combate Americas 56 Picks:

  • Paul Elizondo Jr. (-240): Elizondo Jr. has pro experience while Reyes is making his pro debut. Elizondo Jr. by first-round submission is the pick.
  • Stephanie Frausto (-425): I don’t understand this matchmaking, Frausto will dominate this fight however she wants to and earn a stoppage win.
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