Tuesday, 25 February 2020

2020 Honda Classic – PGA Punt Plays for DraftKings » DFS Karma


This is my weekly PGA article that focuses on the cheapos no one else dare write about. At least one of these plays pops in the Top 10 on almost a weekly basis. My salary cap for this weekly piece is $7300 DK. If you want FULL access to all of the data, recent form, betting odds, and course history for all players, create an account with our partners at Fantasy National!

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Last Week Punt Plays Recap

 

The Honda Classic is played at the PGA National Champion Course in Palm Beach Gardens, FL. It plays as a Par 70 at just over 7100 yards with Bermuda greens.

 

Recent Form

Old Man Furyk returns to this weekly piece ranking 4th overall in my model. I don’t think he has ever cracked the Top 10 ever, so I’m excited. 1st overall in APP and 3rd overall in T2G? Yes please.

Steele also makes another appearance here this season as he comes in 13th overall in total strokes gained. His recency on Bermuda is his worst stats, but they are still average at that. He is 2nd overall in DK Points scored.

Jamie Lovemark is weird. He is bottom of the barrel in BS, OTT, and APP, but Top 3 in SG, ARG, and P. So, he will either do great, or miss the cut. No in between.

Stuard’s ARG is blegh, but everything else is pretty consistent. I like him in a lineup here and there.

CTP is Top 9 in T2G and APP. His worst stats come with Bermuda putting. I’m not in love with him, but can see him making the cut at $6400 salary.

Bud Cauley doesn’t have anything exciting nor does he have anything horrible. Consistency. I’ll take it.

 

Tournament History

Steele popped of THREE straight Top14 finishes here (2015-2017), took a year off, then MC here last season. I think his recent form gets him back into the Top 20 this week.

Aside from his 2018 WD, Bud hasn’t missed the cut here in his 2 other attempts. He finished 12th last season and his recent form should get him past the cut this week as well.

Old Man Furyk finished 9th last year and is 4th overall in recent form model. Yes and Yes.

Jamie didn’t compete here last season, but finished 7th here last year. All he needs to do at $6300 salary is make the cut and I’m rolling the dice that he will this week.

CTP missed here last season. However, he did have a Top 20 finish the year before. I think the cards are falling in his favor this week and he makes the cut to hit value at $6400.

Brian has 2 Top 30 finishes in last 3 seasons here. I’m not too in love with him this week, but the model says he should make the cut at $6700.

 

Key

SG = Strokes Gained

SG: TOT = Total

SG: T2G = Tee to Green

SG: BS = Ball Striking

SG: SG = Short Game

SG: OTT = Off The Tee

SG: APP = Approach

SG: ARG = Around The Green

SG: P = Putting

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