Friday 2 October 2020

Lazio vs Inter Milan Serie A Round 3 Odds & Preview


Inter Milan

Can Inter Milan win their third in a row against Lazio on Sunday? Photo by Icon Sportswire.

  • Lazio are set to host Inter Milan at the Stadio Olimpico on Sunday, October 4th at 9:00 AM EST
  • This will be Lazio and Inter’s third match in Serie A where they sit in 10th and 3rd place respectively
  • Currently, the favorites to win the match are Inter Milan with moneyline odds of +123

It is only the third round of fixtures in Serie A, but the fans are lined up for a cracking match on Sunday between Lazio and Inter Milan. These two Italian sides finished neck and neck last season, with only four points keeping Lazio away from Inter Milan in the second position of the table. Nonetheless, both of these squads are looking to have improved campaigns this time around.

It was Lazio who stumbled first this year with a bad loss to Atalanta at home on Wednesday evening, while Inter Milan have won two from two. Despite this, Inter Milan have to shake some faults out in their defense. Conte’s side have conceded five times in those two matches but were saved by their dazzling offense. Without experienced center-back Stephan Radu, Lazio could have their hands full with Romelu Lukaku and Alexis Sanchez of Inter Milan.

Lazio vs Inter Milan Odds

Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Lazio +0.5 (-150) +195 Over 3.5 (+150)
Inter Milan -0.5 (+120) +123 Under 3.5 (-190)
Draw N/A +275 N/A

Odds taken Oct. 1 at DraftKings

Is This the Year for Inter Milan?

This is the question everyone is wondering about. Can the Black and Blues finally go back at Juventus and challenge for the Serie A title? Conte went out and bought all of his pieces and even came home with a Europa League runners-up medal last season. But, if he wants to win in Italy, he needs to win these important fixtures along the way against that tough middle pack in Serie A.

Unfortunately, Milan has struggled with Lazio as of late. In fact, in their last four tries, they have only managed to come out on top once. But, one could argue this is a totally different Inter side, physically and mentally. Lukaku looks like the man in Italy and adding Hakimi and Vidal to a side already riddled with midfielders, make them a tall task for anyone in Europe. Personally, I think their defensive troubles will not be tested too much on Sunday, especially if they can somewhat contain Ciro Immobile.

Lazio vs Inter Milan Statistics

6th (3 Points) Standing in Serie A 3rd (6 Points)
1.5 Goals per game 4.5
2 Goals conceded per game 2.5
55.6% Possession % 63%

Ciro Immobile Will Pick His Chances

Most people can figure that Milan will win the possession battle come Sunday. Their football is flying and they possess a special quality on the ball. However, Lazio are great at attacking through the middle of the field, mostly thanks to Milinkovic-Savic and Alberto who combined for 32 goal contributions last season in Serie A. With Immobile upfront, who scored a not too shabby 36 goals in Serie A alone last year, they can be deadly.

But, they are going to have to pick the right moment and hit Inter Milan when they are not looking. Inter Milan are not the best at defending the counter by any means which is how Lazio could hurt them.

Best Bet

Overall, the best bet here is to go with the Inter Milan moneyline at +123. It seems like too easy of a choice, but with plus-odds, you have to ignore the warning signs and just go with it. Sure, they have been leaky at the back, but their offense is just simply brilliant, and that’s that. Lazio are battling against a couple of vital injuries which points to Conte’s side winning come Sunday.

My Pick: Inter Milan moneyline (+123)

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