politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Without intensive social distancing the UK death-toll could reach 500k – leading epidemiologist

2/4 -This is not the case. Indeed, if anything, our latest estimates suggest that the virus is slightly more transmissible than we previously thought. Our lethality estimates remain unchanged.

— neil_ferguson (@neil_ferguson) March 26, 2020

4/4 – Without those controls, our assessment remains that the UK would see the scale of deaths reported in our study (namely, up to approximately 500 thousand).

— neil_ferguson (@neil_ferguson) March 26, 2020

Stay at home. Save lives. Anyone can spread coronavirus.

— Cabinet Office (@cabinetofficeuk) March 26, 2020

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