Sunday 9 August 2020

How to get your opponent all-in by the river in MTTs


Dara O’Kearney shares a simple tip about stack manipulation for when you get to the middle stages of a multi table tournament.

Dara O Kearney
Dara O’Kearney 

One of the trickiest aspects of PKO tournaments is getting your opponent to stack off when you cover them and think you have the best hand. I wanted to share a post flop tip that can help you get a player all-in by the river, whether it is a PKO or not. This works best when we are at the middle stages of an MTT, not the early super deep stages.  

When I play a normal MTT my bet sizing is determined by the flop type. If I have range advantage and/or it’s a dry flop I tend to bet small because those pots are easier to take down. If there are lots of draws I bet bigger because I can get more value and charge people the wrong price to outdraw me.

In a PKO my bet sizing is based entirely on my opponent’s stack when I cover them. PKOs are about stack manipulation, not pot manipulation.

10% of their stack on flop, 2/3rds pot on turn

If I do cover them I aim to bet 10% of their stack on the flop (not a percentage of the pot), because by doing that I can bet ⅔ of the pot on the turn and as such it means my river shove will not be an overbet.

For example, let’s say they have a 10,000 stack and there is 2,000 in the middle of the table post flop.

If I bet 1,000 on the flop and they call, I can bet 2,667 on the turn into a 4,000 pot, if they call that then I can bet 6,360 on the river which would set them all in and it would be well under a pot sized bet into the 9,280 pot.

It will be much easier for my opponent to call on the river when I am not overbetting because I’ll be giving them a good price to do so. The problem with overbets is that they allow people more room to fold and they also are quite a clear bet sizing tell, you are literally spelling out that you have a good enough hand to win a bounty.

Obviously this tip is much more useful in the shallower stages of the tournament. Betting 10% of your opponent’s stack in a single raised pot, 250 big blinds effective, is another form of bet sizing tell that would look ridiculous. 

Dara O’Kearney’s new book PKO Poker Strategy is available on kindle or paperback at Amazon right now. The new season of his award winning podcast The Chip Race started again this week and features Pads and Isaac Haxton. 

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