Wednesday, 12 August 2020

Flames vs Stars Game 2 Odds and Pick


Two goals from Dillon Dube propelled the Flames past the Stars in Game 1. Can the Stars get revenge in Game 2? Photo by: @NHLFlames (Twitter.com).

  • The Flames took Game 1 from the Stars on Tuesday, winning 2-1
  • Dillon Dube scored twice for Calgary, as they lead the best-of-seven series 1-0
  • Game 2 goes Thursday at 10:30 pm EST; we break down the odds and give our pick

The Calgary Flames made a statement on Tuesday night, beating the Dallas Stars, 3-2,  in Game 1 of the best-of-seven series. The Flames are hoping to prove that the 2020 Stanley Cup Playoffs won’t be a repeat of their 2019 letdown.

Now it’s up to the Stars to rebound quickly in Game 2 on Thursday night. Considering that Games 2 and 3 will be played on back-to-back days, you could easily argue that Thursday night is a must-win for the Stars.

 Flames vs Stars Game 2 Odds

Team Moneyline Puckline Over/Under at DraftKings
Calgary Flames -105 +1.5 (-286) Over 5 (-137)
Dallas Stars -110 -1.5 (+230) Under 5 (+112)

Odds as of Aug. 11. 

When you compare the odds to what DraftKings laid out for Game 1, it looks eerily similar.

When things opened up for Game 2, the moneyline was the same, slightly in the Flames’ favor The odds to win the series, which opened as a pick’em, have tilted heavily towards Calgary, as Dallas now needs to win four of the next six.

Seguin Can’t Remain a Non-Factor

When we discussed Game 1, Tyler Seguin was a question mark. He missed the last game of the round robin and seems to have been battling an injury since training camp.

He played in Game 1, but wasn’t much of a factor.

Seguin played just under 17 minutes, failing to register a shot, and logged a minus-1 rating. While he’s an electric talent when healthy, he now has no points and is a minus-5 in three games since the restart.

The Stars finished 29th in the NHL in goals-for in the regular season, getting by on their defensive prowess. Seguin needs to get it going in Game 2 to give Dallas enough firepower to win a game, let alone the series.

Stars Need to Generate Better Chances

It’s one thing for Seguin to struggle, but when you look at the Stars’ offensive performance against the Flames, the trouble runs deeper than him.

Cam Talbot faced 26 shots. According to NHL.com’s shot tracking, just five came from the front of the net. Seven came from the top of the circle or the sideboards, and 14, including the two goals, came from the point.

If it wasn’t for a couple of fluke bounces, Talbot easily could have finished with a shutout.

Let’s put it this way: Miro Heiskanen led the Stars with five shots. John Klingberg was tied for second with three. Both are defensemen.

That won’t win you a playoff game.

Secondary Scoring Remains Strong for Flames

With the Flames winning Game 1, you’d assume that Sean Monahan or Johnny Gaudreau had a big game.

But what about Dillon Dube?

The 2016 2nd round pick came up big, scoring the Flames’ first two goals. He nearly made it a hat-trick too.

His first goal not only earned Milan Lucic an assist, continuing his renaissance, but also extended Calgary’s dominance on the power play.

After going 5-for-17 against the Jets, the Flames converted on their lone opportunity. They have the second-best power play of remaining teams.

Flames Can Put Pressure On Stars in Game 2

Our initial thought ahead of Game 1 was that it wouldn’t be overly entertaining, the Stars would smother the Flames’ offense, and grind out a low-scoring victory.

Well it was fairly low scoring, and a bit of a grind, but it was the Flames coming out on top.

The Stars offense needs to prove it can be a threat before it gets respect from bettors. With everyone clicking for Calgary, we’re backing the Flames in Game 2, and expecting even more from them offensively.

The Pick: Flames +1.5 (-286), Over 5.0 (-137)

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