Sunday 25 October 2020

Dive into Unibet’s Flop Race for up to €1K a week


Three more cash game flop races will be available these next weeks at Unibet, offering the chance for a share of €8,000 with a €1,000 main prize.

The guys at Unibet have launched another edition of their popular Cash Game Flop Race, available all the way down until November 15.

Until then, players can still take part in three weekly races, each with a total prize pool of €8,000, given away in a low, mid and high leaderboard. To earn points and climb the leaderboards, players need to reach as many flops as possible in Hold’em, Omaha or Banzai cash games.

Each leaderboard will run for a single week from Monday until the end of the next Sunday and points are accumulated as follows:







Points per Flop Low Mid High
1 NL10, Banzai €20 NL50 NL200
1.5 PL10, NL25 PL50, NL100 PL200, NL400
2 PL25 PL100 PL400

Additionally, there’s a daily bonus of 20 points that you can win by simply reaching 100 flops on a single day.

Even better, Unibet is also offering a consolation bonus. If you have a tough day at the tables, you’ll get one point for every Euro lost (up to the limits below):

  • Low: €10/10 Points

  • Mid: €50/50 Points

  • High: €200/200 Points

€600 a week in our new Unibet raffle

Remember, while enjoying the Flop Race, you can also complete special tasks at Unibet to earn tickets for our own brand-new weekly raffle in which we are giving away €600 to Unibet players every single Monday.

Learn more about our €600 Weekly Raffle at Unibet

Also don’t forget that we are offering an exclusive Rake Race for PokerStrategists at Unibet where we’re giving away €10,000 every month:

Check out our exclusive €10,000 Rake Race at Unibet

Flop Race – Dates & Payouts







Edition Date Prize Pool
Week 3 Oct 25-Nov 1 €8,000
Week 4 November 2-8 €8,000
Week 5 November 9-15 €8,000

Forum: Win up to €1,000 a week in Unibet’s Flop Race

unibet cash game flop race


















Low Mid High
Rank Prize Rank Prize Rank Prize
1 €200 1 €700 1 €1,000
2 €150 2 €500 2 €750
3 €125 3 €375 3 €600
4 €100 4 €250 4 €450
5 €75 5 €200 5 €300
6 €50 6 €150 6 €200
7 €40 7 €100 7 €150
8 €30 8 €75 8-10 €100
9 €20 9 €50 11-15 €50
10-14 €15 10-15 €25
15-20 €10 16-40 €10
21-50 €5
51-100 €2.50





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Daily Acca Tips – Sunday October 25 2020



Sunday’s edition of the Daily Acca is all about the Premier League for Paul Robinson, and the bet weighs in at 10/1. Here are his selections:

Overs to land on the South Coast

Bet 1: Back Over 2.5 Goals in Southampton v Everton @ 3/4 – KO 14:00 BST

There should be goals at St Mary’s this afternoon as both Southampton and Everton have been quite prolific lately.

More so the visitors who are top of the league, with 14 goals in five fixtures this term. There are some doubts about the fitness of James Rodriguez, but Carlo Ancelotti was relatively upbeat in his press conference.

The Saints lost their opening two matches of the season, but since then it’s been a return of seven points from a possible nine. They scored three times at Chelsea last time, and prior to that they netted twice against the Baggies.

Back to back defeats for the Magpies

Bet 2: Back Wolves @ 3/4 – KO 16:30 BST

Wolves have steadied the ship in October, as they put three defeats behind them – two league and one cup – to beat both Fulham and Leeds to nil.

The visitors to Molineux today are Newcastle, a team who saw their undefeated run come to an end against Manchester United last weekend.

Steve Bruce’s men were thoroughly outplayed on that occasion, and I just can’t see them laying a glove on Nuno Espírito Santo’s men here.

Arsenal to come up short

Bet 3: Back The Draw in Arsenal v Leicester @ 13/5 – KO 19:15 BST

The Gunners have certainly improved under Mikel Arteta, but they have still been beaten by both Liverpool and Manchester City in the games that really matter this season.

For that reason, I have to oppose them at even money against Leicester – even if the Foxes have been in and out this year.

Brendan Rodgers should have Jamie Vardy back at the Emirates, and if Harvey Barnes played like he did in midweek, the Arsenal defence will have plenty on their plate.





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Poker Biggest Gamblers and Their Degenerate Stories


08:32
25 Oct

For all that poker players claim to understand that skill, experience and self-control are all essential to beating the game, there are those who just can’t overcome that crippling degen gene – the need to gamble it up at the expense of common-sense!

Today’s tales of degeneracy were sparked by a Reddit/poker thread, one user recounting how they destroyed their 2019 WSOP dream before even reaching the tournament tables.

A $4500 bankroll and $1500 savings should have been enough for a decent but modest schedule, with the chance of a sattie win to chase the riches.

However a shitty flight led to a tilted $900 punt on the cash game tables, and with the rest of that $6k in the pocket for fear of hotel theft, our ‘hero’ took to the roulette wheel in an attempt to win it all back.

You can imagine how the rest went, and the full story linked later if you want the gory details, but all you really need to know is how our player felt:

“The dream, crushed to oblivion. Heart in pieces. I felt dead inside.”

That incredible rush of blood, the absolute need to play, or chase losses or glory or instant thrills, is far from an unusual one among poker players, of course.

♠ ♣ ♥ ♦

Peter Eatsgate’s sportsbetting $millions

Peter Eastgate was one of the lucky ones, in several ways. A $9.1million payday for scooping the WSOP Main Event in 2008 gave him the riches to do whatever he pleased.

Worryingly, however, he also believed: “It is slightly in a poker player’s DNA to make bets,” and that led to a $1.7million splurge on the 2010 football World Cup.

Although admitting to being “an addict” and “a degenerate gambler”, Peter fortunately found a way through his problems and managed to stop his self-destructive behaviour before it wiped out his entire bank balance.

♠ ♣ ♥ ♦

Erick Lindgren’s $10million debts

Others were not so lucky, and the sad tale of Erick ‘E-Dog’ Lindgren is a case in point, with more than $10million in tournament winnings equalled by the amount of debt he managed to rack up.

Again it was sportsbetting that caused the problems, a $50k to $100k per game addiction that led to his borrowing from other poker players and gamblers.

Haralabos Voulgaris and Max Weinberg were among those who went public, and there was also a $2million Full Tilt payment that was mistakenly sent twice, and never repaid by Lindgren.

Lawsuits and multiple bankruptcies followed and Lindgren’s ‘All American Hero’ status lay in tatters.

♠ ♣ ♥ ♦

We could go over the poker successes and degenerate lifestyles of Stu Ungar, Scotty Nguyen, Gus Hansen and many others – some of whom survived and came out the other side, some who didn’t.

Gambling, drugs, alcohol, men and women of the night – the list of poisons is endless, and as our Reddit degen shows, it’s not exclusive to the $millionaire poker club. Stick to what you know and stick to your limits – you have been warned!

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10 tips to help you win at Blackjack.



The game of blackjack or 21 is one of the most popular casino games. Easy to learn and fun to play, it’s usually one of the first casino games that people learn to play. We offer you 10 tips to help you play better and smarter. These tips will help you win more often and limit your losses. Watch this video to start learning how to play better and smarter blackjack.

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Spurs to put on another Kane and Son show



Burnley v Tottenham
Monday 26 October, 20:00
Live on Sky Sports Main Event

Clarets off colour

Burnley finished the post-lockdown season well but have hit a trough in the new campaign, registering just one point from their first four matches.

Sean Dyche has been through this sort of bad patch before and turned their form around, but the rumblings of discontent from the manager suggest the malaise may be deeper than in previous seasons.

Phil Bardsley is still unavailable following his positive coronavirus test and fellow full-back Erik Pieters is doubtful with a calf injury. Matt Lowton could return after an ankle injury.

‘Spursy’ tinge to early form

Tottenham had a morale-boosting 3-0 home win in the Europa League on Thursday night but Jose Mourinho and his players will still be smarting from the shock turnaround at home to West Ham in their last Premier League match.

Having led 3-0 after 16 minutes, Spurs were pegged back to 3-3 inside the last 10 minutes through a mix of lax defending, misses by their own forwards and a worldie from Manuel Lanzini for West Ham’s equaliser.

That followed the 6-1 away win at Manchester United and their up-and-down performance levels, from match to match and within games, left Mourinho having to defend his team against accusations of being too ‘Spursy’.

Gareth Bale, having played the last 20 minutes against West Ham and the first hour on Thursday night, is in contention for his first start back in the Premier League. Mourinho must choose between Serge Aurier and Matt Doherty at right-back, while Eric Dier faces a fitness test.

This is only the second home match for Burnley, who lost the first 1-0 against Southampton. It is a concern that they have started so slowly given three of their first four Premier League games have been against teams who are likely to be mid-table at best.

The only top team they have faced in the Premier League is Leicester away, where they lost 4-2 on the opening weekend, although there is another measure of their possible level against Spurs in that they were also beaten 3-0 at home by Manchester City in the Carabao Cup.

Tottenham’s away form has been their strong point this season. As well as the massive win at Old Trafford, they won 5-2 at Southampton and their two Europa League away games have also brought high-scoring victories.

Across their four away games, Spurs have scored 16 goals and never less than two in a match. Harry Kane and Son Heung-Min are the Premier League’s hottest combination, having scored 12 goals and had nine assists between them in the first five games.

At the other end, a troubling issue for Mourinho is that his side have conceded in all of their first five Premier League games. Thursday’s win to nil in the Europa League was the first time they had kept a clean sheet in 10 competitive matches this season.

Both teams have scored in eight of those 10 matches and that is a bet to consider at 5/61.87.

Better odds are available on a Tottenham win by a clear-cut margin on the Asian handicap. Given Burnley’s low-scoring trend this season, it looks possible for Tottenham to have another comfortable away win, although they will have to defend better against Burnley’s set-pieces.

The favoured bet is Tottenham off -1 on the Asian handicap at 2.13, which allows for some resistance from Burnley but ultimately an away win and by a possible wide margin.

Both teams are following established goals patterns.

Burnley had 53% under 2.5 goals in the Premier League last season (the same home and away) and this season’s figure is 50% after four games.

Tottenham had 61% over 2.5 goals last season (60% this season). On the road last season the figure rose to 68% and this season’s first two away games have brought a massive seven goals each time.

Son on a scoring streak

Opta point out that Kane has been directly involved in eight goals in his last four Premier League appearances against Burnley (6 goals, 2 assists), including a hat-trick at Turf Moor in December 2017.

But he has been more provider than scorer this season and the chief beneficiary has been Son. The Spurs hotshot looks a good cornerstone for a bet on the Sportsbook’s Same Game Multi, with Tottenham to win and Son to score available at 2.95.

Opta Stat

Tottenham have kept just two clean sheets in their last 28 Premier League away games, both in goalless draws last season against relegated sides Bournemouth and Watford. A goalless draw is available at 15/116.0 here.





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Sunday 25 October 2020 Horse Racing Tips South Africa



Timeform provide the three best bets at Greyville on Sunday…

“…twice placed over this course and distance from a similar mark…”

Timeform on White Lightning

#2 Alma Mater – Greyville R2 (11:15 GMT)

Alma Mater was last seen finishing third at Scottsville in January, keeping on well to be beaten two and three quarter lengths. That form comfortably sets the standard in this maiden, so he looks to hold sound claims if running to the same sort of level after nine months on the sidelines. Long Day’s Journey and Theydon’tknowme are others to consider.

#5 Jays Dancer – Greyville R3 (11:50 GMT)

Jays Dancer and Italian Dynasty bring the strongest form credentials into this maiden. The latter has shown plenty of ability in two outings over this course and distance, but preference is for Jays Dancer, who has been knocking on the door recently and produced his best effort yet when beaten less than a length on the all-weather here two weeks ago. Red Hot Night completes the shortlist.

#5 White Lightning – Greyville R6 (13:35 GMT)

White Lightning has been given a chance by the handicapper and looks to have plenty in his favour if reproducing the form he showed earlier this year, including when twice placed over this course and distance from a similar mark. Anse Lazio has been running consistently of late and is feared most ahead of Just Cruised In.





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News: Poker Basics – Maniacs


Another refresher for new players on the common player types in poker, this time the crazies who can tilt you but also make you a lot of money.

The first step when reading hands is to categorize your opponents into distinct player types based on his playing style. Assigning a certain player type to your opponent will help you narrow down his range.

These lessons will teach you how to differentiate between the five most common player types and their fundamental characteristics. This information will be useful when adjusting to their playing style.

The maniac

This kind of opponent plays a lot of hands and is often overly aggressive, even with weak holdings. His playing style leads to very high variance, but in the long term, maniacs will lose a lot of money.

How do you recognize a maniac?

maniac
Expect a wide 3-bet range

The maniac is a loose and very aggressive opponent. You will often see him bet, raise and reraise. Similarly to the calling station, he will rarely be found sitting on more than one or two tables and will also frequently have less than a full stack of chips.

A maniac will often display the following betting patterns:

  • Cold calling an open raise

  • 4-betting when he has been 3-bet

  • Frequent pre-flop all-ins, even with hands like 99 and AJs

  • Many open raises and 3-bets pre-flop

  • Frequent bluffs

  • Frequently bets and raises very big, possibly bigger than pot size

What range does a maniac play?

Just like the calling station, the maniac plays a very wide and therefore weak range. The difference is that he plays his hands aggressively. He bets and raises a lot more than average and thus creates a great deal of variance and – more importantly over the long term – losses for himself.

How do you play against a maniac?

station

Against a maniac you should:

  • Play tight.

  • Try to induce bluffs.

  • Try to avoid bluffing him.

  • Lower your standards for a good hand.

  • Be consistent and have a plan: call down or fold right away

The maniac is especially weak to lines which induce bluffs. He likes bluffing, so give him the opportunity to do so. If there is any kind of player where slow playing makes sense at the lower limits, the maniac is that player.

A maniac frequently bluffs, and hands which you would consider weak against the vast majority of players may sometimes turn out to be the best hand. You should apply the concept of relative hand strength. Against a maniac, you will have many situations where you can go broke before the flop with hands such as 99+ and AQ+ without fear. Post-flop, top pair and top kicker is very often going to turn out to be the best hand.

poker hand

Try to be consistent and have a plan: either call down on all three streets or fold right away. Your opponent isn’t known for suddenly giving up along the way so do not play as if he will.

Maniacs are very talented at provoking tilt from other players. If you start losing your temper and letting it affect your play, you should leave the table.

To learn more about the types of players you will encounter in poker check out this article or watch the video below:

poker video
Click to watch the video

Related Resources

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Micro Maniac

LemOn36 explores how to make money playing like a Maniac

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Get our free software

Our Equilab tool will teach you how to adjust your ranges to maniacs





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Saturday 24 October 2020

Dodgers vs Rays Odds, Lines, and Picks for World Series Game 5


Clayton Kershaw mid pitch.

Clayton Kershaw gets the start for the Dodgers in Game 5 of the World Series against the Rays and Tyler Glasnow. Image from @MLBStats (Twitter).

  • The Rays walked off the Dodgers in improbable fashion on Saturday, tying the World Series 2-2
  • The Dodgers’ Clayton Kershaw faces the Rays’ Tyler Glasnow in a rematch of Game 1
  • Game 5 starts at 8:08 pm ET from Globe Life Field in Texas

Brett Phillips: World Series hero. Obviously, right?

Game 4 of the Fall Classic was what everyone wants in the World Series. After both teams scored in each of the fifth, sixth and seventh, the Dodgers went up 7-6 in the top of the eighth. Then with Kenley Jansen on to close it out, Brett Phillips had the walk-off single to tie the World Series 2-2.

Tampa won’t have much time to celebrate, however. Game 5 is set for Sunday (October 25th) at 8:08 pm ET.

Dodgers vs Rays Odds – Game 5

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Los Angeles Dodgers (C. Kershaw) -152 -1.5 (+116) Over 7.5 (-115)
Tampa Bay Rays (T. Glasnow) +132 +1.5 (-136) Under 7.5 (-105)

Odds as of Oct 24th from FanDuel.

Despite the Rays’ heroics, it wasn’t enough to steal favorite status from the Dodgers. LA (-152) is favored once again in Game 5.

After an explosive Game 4, the over has hit in all four World Series games. With the unpredictability of the series so far, the books have shaved the total back to 7.5.

Glasnow Looks for Redemption vs Kershaw

In Game 1, two pitchers with checkered postseason pasts faced off. Clayton Kershaw turned in a gem, while Tyler Glasnow added to his spotty history.

Now he gets a second chance with the opportunity to give the Rays a 3-2 lead.

Kershaw vs Glasnow: Game 1

6.0 Innings Pitched 4.1
2 Hits 3
1/1 Runs/Earned Runs 6/6
8 Strikeouts 8
1 Walks 6
1 Home Runs 1
78 Pitch Count 112
7/5 Ground Balls/Fly Balls 5/4

Glasnow faced 23 batters on Tuesday, averaging 4.87 pitches per at-bat. Raising pitch counts is something that Dodger hitters have been very good at this postseason.

Saying his playoff results have been mixed would be kind to Glasnow. In seven starts he has finished the fifth inning three times. In four outings of his outings he’s allowed four earned runs. This year he’s allowed 14 walks over 23.2 innings, for a WHIP of 1.44.

Tampa meanwhile, played right into Kershaw’s hands. He cruised through six innings with the lone blemish, unsurprisingly, a solo home run. The Rays have hit a lot of those. Their boom or bust potential has killed them against the Kershaw/Buehler/Urias trio, and there’s little reason to expect that to change.

If Kershaw can get in and out of at-bats quickly in Game 5, he should make quick work of Tampa.

What’s Left in Rays’ Bullpen?

Ryan Yarbrough’s 3.1 innings in Game 4 continued a troubling trend for Rays starters.

Yarbrough has now combined with Glasnow (4.1), Blake Snell (4.2), and Charlie Morton (4.1) to throw 16.2 innings over five starts. Needless to say, it’s put a lot of pressure on Tampa’s bullpen.

Rays World Series Bullpen Usage

Pitcher Appearances Innings Pitched Runs/Earned Runs Inherited Runners/Scored Hits Strikeouts Walks Pitch Count
John Curtiss 3 3.0 1/1 4/0 4 3 1 47
Nick Anderson 2 2.2 2/2 4/2 4 3 1 42
Pete Fairbanks 2 2.2 2/2 0/0 4 2 0 35
Ryan Thompson 2 1.2 0/0 1/0 0 2 0 11
Aaron Loup 2 1.1 2/2 1/0 2 3 0 22
Diego Castillo 2 1.1 1/1 0/0 1 2 2 29
Ryan Yarbrough 1 0.2 0/0 2/2 2 0 0 19
Josh Fleming 1 2.2 2/2 0/0 5 2 1 40
Ryan Sherriff 1 1.0 0/0 0/0 0 1 1 17
Shane McClanahan 1 1.0 0/0 0/0 1 0 0 26

Thompson, Fairbanks, Castillo, Loup, Anderson, and Curtiss all pitched in Game 4. It’s tough to see Castillo, Anderson, or Curtiss appearing in Game 5 based on usage, leaving Loup and Thompson to appear again. Tampa’s bullpen gave up nine hits and five runs over 5.2 innings of work.

Both Glasnow and Snell were spotted in the bullpen Saturday night. Twice each. It could be an indication that the Rays are on their last legs.

The Dodgers themselves were guilty of bullpen abuse in Game 5, using five relievers after Julio Urias was dominant for 4.2 innings. It’s very likely that Blake Treinen, Brusdar Graterol and Kenley Jansen are all unavailable on Sunday, but Dustin May could pitch.

2020 World Series Odds Tracker

Dodgers Forced to Regroup for Game 5

Until the last possible moment it looked like LA was going to head to Game 5 up 3-1.

Instead they’re tied 2-2.

But these aren’t the Dodgers of old. After coming back against the Braves, they shouldn’t blink. And the world saw how desperate the Rays’ pitching situation has become by the end of Game 4.

Expect LA to regroup and attack the Rays to try and tax the bullpen even more on Sunday night.

The Pick: Dodgers (-152), Over 7.5 (-115)

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Odds for Khabib Nurmagomedov’s Next Fight After Announcing Retirement


Khabib Nurmagomedov face down on knees in celebration

Khabib Nurmagomedov announced his retirement from MMA after his win at UFC 254. Photo from @ufc (Twitter).

  • Khabib Nurmagomedov defended his lightweight title at UFC 254
  • Following his win, he announced his retirement from MMA
  • If he comes out of retirement, who would he fight? See below

All the talk entering UFC 254 was it would be one of the last Khabib Nurmagomedov fights. Well, it ended up being the final time.

In the main event of the card, Nurmagomedov defended his lightweight title for the third time with a second-round submission over Justin Gaethje. The victory improved his record to 29-0 and after the fight, the Dagestani champion announced his retirement from the sport. Throughout his career, all the talk was he would retire at 30-0. However, after his father, Abdulmanap, who also serves as his coach passed away earlier this year, many wondered if the champ would hang up his gloves.

So, despite Nurmagomedov announcing his retirement, odds opened on who he will fight next if he does choose to return.

Odds on Khabib Nurmagomedov’s Next Opponent

Fighter Odds
Georges St-Pierre +150
Conor McGregor +300
Kamaru Usman +500
Michael Chandler +600
Tony Ferguson +600
Jorge Masvidal +1000
Floyd Mayweather +1400
Manny Pacquiao +2000

*All odds taken Oct. 24

Is Khabib’s Retirement Permanent?

Most mixed martial arts retirements do not last. Look at Conor McGregor’s countless retirements, Alexander Gustafsson,and Stefan Struve’s retirements among countless others. However, Nurmagomedov’s feels and is much different.

First off, I’ve talked to coaches and teammates of Nurmagomedov’s and they all told me this was a difficult training camp for the Dagestani champion as it was the first without his father. He and his dad were super close and when he passed away some of his teammates like Daniel Cormier thought he may never fight again. Ultimately, he decided to commit to this Justin Gaethje fight and admitted post-fight he can’t continue fighting without his father.

Nurmagomedov is also a man of his word and he told his mom he would not continue his fighting career now that his dad has passed away. So, I truly believe this is the last time we saw arguably the greatest mixed martial artist of all-time.

If He Returns Who Would He Fight?

If Nurmagomedov does return, I think it will only be for one fight and that is the Georges St-Pierre superfight.

For over a year now, Nurmagomedov and St-Pierre have hinted at fighting one another. However, the UFC did not want to book the fight just in case St-Pierre won the fight and retired with another belt as he did at middleweight. With “The Eagle” retiring and likely vacating the belt, it could finally set up a superfight with GSP in the next year or so at a catchweight bout.

Nurmagomedov is now comfortably retired and I do not see him coming out of retirement for at least another year and likely never again. However, if he does, I think it will be against Georges St-Pierre.

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Inter Miami CF vs. Orlando City SC – Football Match Report – October 24, 2020


Leandro Gonzalez Pirez headed home an 89th-minute corner kick to boost Inter Miami CF‘s postseason chances with a crucial 2-1 victory over Orlando City SC on Saturday afternoon at Inter Miami Stadium.

Pirez’s goal came after Miami (6-11-3, 21 points) also scored from an own-goal in the final moments of the first half, as it turned around an early deficit to secure its third win in five matches.

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The win at least temporarily lifted the expansion side into the 10th and final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference with three matches remaining, prior to other games scheduled for later in the weekend.

Daryl Dike scored his fifth goal of a strong rookie campaign early on for Orlando (8-3-8, 32 points), which saw its 12-match unbeaten run halted and missed a potential chance to improve upon its current fourth-place standing in the East.

The teams completed their four-match season series with two wins each in the first game played before a limited capacity crowd in Miami this season.

After an even first half, both sides had one previous clear opportunity to take a second-half lead before Miami’s late winner.

Miami’s arrived in the 53rd minute, when Julian Carranza headed Lewis Morgan‘s excellent cross off the crossbar, before goalkeeper Pedro Gallese eventually corralled the rebound.

Orlando’s came in the 88th minute, when in the second phase following a corner kick, John McCarthy made a kick save to turn away Benji Michel‘s open look.

Only a minute later, Miami had their winner, when Gonzalez-Pirez beat his marker to the near post and sent a glancing header of Morgan’s winner past Gallese from close range.

Orlando went in front in the 12th minute when Antonio Carlos launched a long, diagonal ball toward Dike, who was marked by center back Nicolas Figal. Figal had an inside track, but Dike simply outmuscled him to win the ball, then sent a breakaway finish past McCarthy.

Miami grew into the game from there and was finally rewarded in the 45th minute when Blaise Matuidi drove a low cross from the left side of the penalty area toward the back post, which struck defender Robin Jansson and looped across the goal line.



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My logic for bailing out of the spread betting markets on this year’s White House Race – politicalbetting.com


I’ll let you all into a little secret, it is entirely possible the stonking huge polling leads that Biden has turn out to be accurate but he still doesn’t win the Presidency. One scenario is where Biden gets votes where he doesn’t need them and Trump gets the votes where he needs them, but the scenario I’m going to look at today is that America isn’t a functioning democracy.

With a pandemic on it has been obvious for some time that the number of mail in and absentee votes would increase by a Brobdingnagian amount, and as this tweet earlier on this month indicated that these votes are breaking overwhelmingly for Joe Biden.

Now if these votes are being rejected, as per the Thurgood Marshall Institute, then this is likely to be sub optimal for Joe Biden, I’m sure states with Republican Governors and the wider GOP will do their best to ensure the votes of Biden supporters are counted with the enthusiasm that famously poor Donald Trump paid his taxes in 2016.

If you’re having doubts about this election then also there’s this story that broke earlier in the week.

Russian state actors have conducted a campaign since at least September against a wide variety of targets, including dozens of “government and aviation networks,” ABC News has learned. Russia successfully compromised network infrastructure in some government agencies, according to government officials.

U.S. officials told ABC News that systems containing election-related information from two counties in two separate states were successfully hacked by the Russian effort. A new Homeland Security Alert states, “As this recent malicious activity has been directed at [state, local, territorial and tribal (SLTT)] government networks, there may be some risk to elections information housed on (those) government networks.”

So when betting on American politics it is wise to remember that this is not country with a free and fair electoral process, it may also not be robust enough to deal with outside mischief. If America was any other country, other nations and multinational organisations would be sending in electoral observers to ensure a free and fair election took place.

With the potential for huge losses on the spreads, I hope people can understand my logic for exiting the spreads.

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2020 ZOZO Championship at Sherwood Round 4 Odds and Betting Preview


Justin Thomas watching ball flight after swing

Justin Thomas is in search of his 14th PGA Tour victory at the Zozo Championship at Sherwood. (Photo by Michael Wade/Icon Sportswire)

  • Justin Thomas leads by one shot over Jon Rahm after 54 holes at the Zozo Championship at Sherwood
  • Twelve golfers within four shots of the lead at a course where going low is mandatory
  • See the updated live odds at Sherwood Country Club heading into Sunday’s final round

Following the third round of the Zozo Championship at Sherwood, if you aren’t making a ton of birdies you are getting completely lapped, with 19-under-par the leading score. Justin Thomas characterized his third round 5-under-67 as a decent round, which for many other tournaments would be considered a very strong day, but that’s around the norm at this easy course.

Thomas and Jon Rahm were the top two favorites entering the week and in a rarity, they are the top two on the leaderboard entering Sunday as well. With the course totally defenseless, a blistering round of 64 or better is out there, as 10 rounds have occurred already this week, with Rahm shooting a 63 on moving day.

Read on to see the updated odds and the best bets to make for Sunday’s final round.

Live Zozo Championship at Sherwood Odds

Golfer Position Score Odds
Justin Thomas 1st -19 +163
Jon Rahm 2nd -18 +225
Lanto Griffin 3rd -17 +1200
Patrick Cantlay T-4th -16 +1200
Webb Simpson T-7th -15 +1800
Ryan Palmer T-4th -16 +2000
Sebastian Munoz T-4th -16 +2000
Matthew Fitzpatrick T-7th -15 +2800
Bubba Watson T-7th -15 +3300
Scottie Scheffler T-7th -15 +3300
Brian Harman T-7th -15 +4000
Tony Finau T-13th -14 +5000
Dylan Frittelli T-7th -15 +8000

Odds taken October 24th at DraftKings

2020 Masters Odds Tracker

Justin Thomas Has Lost Last Two 54-Hole Leads

In the first nine holes of this event, Justin Thomas was sputtering around with a pedestrian even par score. On the back nine, he blitzed the course with a 7-under-29, setting himself up in position to contend and he hasn’t looked back in the two rounds that have followed.

JT finds himself one ahead of Rahm, and despite the fact that Thomas has won in eight of the 13 times he’s led going into the final round, he’s dropped his last two at the WGC-Mexico Championship and Workday Charity Open this year when he was out in front.

The somewhat concerning stat is that Thomas ranks T-33 this week in greens in regulation, hitting just 38 of 54. He’s been able to work around that because he’s been third in putting, but on a course where droves of birdies are required, that might not hold up when the pressure ratchets up on Sunday.

Jon Rahm Primed For Another Victory

Spaniard Jon Rahm tied for the low round of the day on Saturday with a scintillating 9-under, 63, where he shot six under in the first seven holes. This week, he’s first in greens in regulation, second in scrambling, second in strokes gained tee-to-green and has made just one bogey in his last 45 holes.

Rahm is fifth in SG: approach-the-green this week while leader Thomas is 24th, which again points to Rahm perhaps making it three 54-hole leads in a row dropped by JT. While the odds are very similar, the slightly better value on Rahm is more enticing given their stats through three rounds.

Best Live Value Picks for Zozo Championship at Sherwood

  1. Patrick Cantlay (+1200): We were high on Cantlay coming into the week because he loves bentgrass, ranking first on tour in the last 50 rounds of players competing this week. Only golfer through 54 holes without a bogey on his card. Both of his wins have been when he trailed entering the final day.
  2. Sebastian Munoz (+2000): The first round leader has posted the most birdies (23) this week and is also first in strokes gained approaching the green, picking up over eight shots on the field despite losing over two shots off the tee (65th). Benefits by avoiding a threesome with the big guns like Thomas and Rahm so he can just play his own game without the added pressure.
  3. Bubba Watson (+3300): Has found a resurgence in his game, posting T-7, T-16, T-18, T-31 finishes in his last four events, so he’s close to breaking through. Says he loves this course which is key for his success which strongly varies based on his feelings about a track. Third off the tee and T-4 in greens in regulation this tournament.
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Philadelphia Union vs. Toronto FC – Football Match Report – October 24, 2020


Sergio Santos scored three goals, Jamiro Monteiro added one goal and assisted on another and the host Philadelphia Union moved into first place in the Eastern Conference following a 5-0 win over Toronto FC on Saturday.

It was the fourth hat trick in Union history, while goalkeeper Andre Blake earned his eighth shutout of the season.

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Mark McKenzie scored one goal while Kacper Przybylko and Kai Wagner had two assists each for the Union, who improved to 12-3-5, good for 41 points.

The Union and Toronto FC each have 41 points, but the Union vaulted into first thanks to goal differential. Philadelphia is now unbeaten in five in a row and 7-0 at home since the MLS is Back Tournament in July.

Toronto FC (12-3-5), had their nine-game unbeaten streak snapped.

Toronto FC conceded only three goals total in the seven previous games before this loss.

The Union had a terrific scoring chance in the sixth minute when Przybylko found himself wide open in front but headed a cross just wide.

Toronto FC entered the game as the No. 1 team in the league in ball possession. But Philadelphia dominated the play in the first half, and ended with 52.9 percent in possession time.

In the 27th minute, the Union went ahead 1-0 as Wagner sent a left-footed cross into the box which was headed into the goal by Santos.

Philadelphia extended its lead to 2-0 in the 34th minute as McKenzie headed a pass by Przybylko past goalkeeper Quentin Westberg.

Toronto FC, who continue to play without injured standout Jozy Altidore, had their first corner kick in the first minute of stoppage time but couldn’t convert. Toronto FC had only one shot and none on goal in the first half.

The Union led 9-1 in corner kicks in the first half.

Philadelphia kept the pressure on as Monteiro drilled a shot from the top of the box just under the crossbar for a 3-0 advantage in the 56th minute.

Santos scored his second goal in the 63rd minute when he finished a cross by Wagner for a 4-0 lead. Santos achieved the hat trick in the 68th minute as he received a crisp pass by Brenden Aaronson and tapped the shot into the goal.



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Steelers vs Titans Props – Best Team and Player Prop Bets for Week 7


Derrick Henry on sideline

The total on rushing yards by Tennessee Titans running back Derrick Henry in Sunday’s game against the Pittsburgh Steelers is set at 86.5 yards. Photo by Chipermc (Wiki Commons)

  • The Pittsburgh Steelers travel to Tennessee to face the Titans in a battle of unbeatens
  • Current record: 3-2, +2.68 units won
  • The best prop wagers to play out of this tilt are listed below

If history stays the course, the winner of Sunday’s Pittsburgh Steelers-Tennessee Titans contest is Super Bowl bound.

This is the the sixth time in the NFL’s Super Bowl era that two unbeaten teams have met this late into the regular season. In each of the five previous games, the winner went on to play in the Super Bowl that season.

Both teams have been posting big numbers, which could lead those looking into betting player props in Sunday’s game to lean toward the over on the offensive side of the ledger. Tennessee is the #2 offense in the NFL (423.2 yards per game) and #2 scoring offense (32.8 points per game). Pittsburgh is the league’s #4 scoring offense (31.2 ppg).

The Titans are 1.5-point home favorites for this game with a 1pm ET kickoff. Check out our updated injury reports, as well as other betting options. Let’s start with the lines for player props.

Steelers vs Titans Player Props

Quarterback Completions Passing Yards Passing TDs
Ben Roethlisberger (PIT) 25.5 (Ov -124 | Un +100) 275.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 1.5 (Ov -195 | Un +150)
Ryan Tannehill (TEN) 21.5 (Ov -113 | Un -113) 264.5 (Ov -112 | Un +100) 1.5 (Ov -180 | Un +140)
Runnning Backs Rush Attempts Rush Yards Rush and Receiving Yards
James Conner (PIT) 15.5 (Ov -118 | Un -106) 63.5 (Ov -134 | Un +108) 88.5 (Ov -106 | Un -120)
Derrick Henry (TEN) 22.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 86.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 99.5 (Ov -113 | Un -113)
Ryan Tannehill (TEN) N/A 15.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) N/A
Wide Receivers + Tight Ends Receptions Receivng Yards Longest Reception
James Conner (PIT) 2.5 (Ov -166 | Un +130) 19.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) N/A
JuJu Smith-Schuster (PIT) 4.5 (Ov -113 | Un -113) 45.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) N/A
AJ Brown (TEN) 4.5 (Ov -146 | Un +114) 59.5 (Ov -110 | Un -110) 24.5 (Ov -106 | Un -120)
Derrick Henry (TEN) 1.5 (Ov -166 | Un +130) 9.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) N/A

All props taken Oct. 24th from DraftKings/FanDuel

Prop #1: The Henry Train Is Getting Derailed

Titans running back Derrick Henry is the reigning NFL rushing champion and he’s out front again so far with 588 yards through five games. He’s averaged 117.6 yards per game on the ground.

Logically, the over might appear to be the play of the day. However, Pittsburgh’s run defense in second-best in the NFL. The Steelers are allowing just 66.2 yards per game on the ground.

Last week, they held Cleveland’s Kareem Hunt, a former NFL rushing champ, to 40 yards on 13 carries. In Week 1, they absolutely stuffed Saquon Barkley of the New York Giants. He gained six yards on 15 carries.

Steelers inside linebacker Devin Bush, among their best run stoppers, is out with a torn ACL, though. His 26 tackles are second on the team.

Pick: Henry, under 86.5 rushing yards (-112), 1 unit.

Prop #2: Big Ben Will Clock In

At 38, Steelers quarterback Ben Roethlisberger isn’t what he once was. However, he’s still very good.

The Steelers gameplan effectively to play to Big Ben’s strengths. Last week was the first time this season he didn’t throw for at least two touchdowns.

Roethlisberger enjoys playing the Titans. He’s tossed for 17 TDs in eight games against Tennessee.

Tennessee’s defense is currently 28th overall in the NFL at stopping the pass, allowing 1,364 total passing yards. The Titans are also 30th overall in TD passes allowed, giving up 13 in five games.

Pick: Roethlisberger over 1.5 touchdown passes (-195), 1 unit. 

Steelers vs Titans Touchdown Props

Player Odds To Score First TD Odds To Score Any TD
James Conner (PIT) +700 -121
JuJu Smith-Schuster (PIT) +1300 +190
Chase Claypool (PIT) +1500 +220
Eric Ebron (PIT) +1600 +240
Diontae Johnson (PIT) +2000 +300
James Washington (PIT) +2000 +300
Benny Snell Jr (PIT) +2200 +350
Ben Roethlisberger (PIT) +6600 +1050
Derrick Henry (TEN) +500 -200
AJ Brown (TEN) +800 +105
Corey Davis (TEN) +7000 +1200
Adam Humphries (TEN) +1200 +165
Jonnu Smith (TEN) +1300 +190
Ryan Tannehill (TEN) +10000 +2200
Anthony Firkser (TEN) +2500 +400
Jeremy McNichols (TEN) +5500 +900

Who Are the Best Bets to Score a Touchdown?

Pittsburgh receiver Chase Claypool has found the end zone five times in the past two games. He’s also proven to be a double threat.

The Canadian rookie has caught four TD passes and run for two scores this season. Claypool is also becoming a much bigger part of the Pittsburgh offense.

He’s been targeted 15 times over the past two games. He saw nine targets through the first three games.

Henry has rumbled for six TDs in the past two games. He’s found the end zone in nine of his last 12 regular-season games.

  • Claypool anytime touchdown (+220) – 1 unit
  • Henry anytime touchdown (-200) – 1 unit
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